Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 48.612928 54.673481 60.992730 68.056015 75.713003 83.745493 92.791394
2024-10-13 39.277640 48.129264 57.931389 69.512531 82.741080 97.300770 114.455488
2024-10-20 33.623711 43.796688 55.546322 69.959429 86.997648 106.333751 129.765975
2024-10-27 28.270702 38.988322 51.856087 68.181683 88.070549 111.243808 140.000366
2024-11-03 26.120687 37.727324 52.100391 70.822315 94.163049 121.903240 156.939261
2024-11-10 23.832486 35.990561 51.496849 72.198316 98.560839 130.461619 171.394358
2024-11-17 21.340027 33.705297 49.945313 72.154554 101.021370 136.555455 182.832703
2024-11-24 20.202987 33.128011 50.519720 74.774120 106.820476 146.807503 199.495379
2024-12-01 18.259158 31.223226 49.142182 74.671206 109.002845 152.465629 210.443962
2024-12-08 16.281633 29.078893 47.260777 73.728289 109.953426 156.471249 219.276470
2024-12-15 14.823236 27.571146 46.149008 73.727681 112.074277 161.943716 229.992363
2024-12-22 13.522561 26.183958 45.100919 73.719022 114.115070 167.282537 240.557651
2024-12-29 13.049499 26.105612 46.006294 76.567325 120.219116 178.209583 258.749766
2025-01-05 12.117284 25.198013 45.610760 77.508906 123.694743 185.708048 272.591661
2025-01-12 11.195487 24.215424 45.019463 78.095581 126.631056 192.478068 285.516736
2025-01-19 9.810693 22.288949 42.817846 76.149381 125.851448 194.119101 291.548850
2025-01-26 9.555445 22.358687 43.790334 79.018634 132.040897 205.388892 310.671202
2025-02-02 9.045103 21.909105 43.880516 80.511209 136.233929 213.942440 326.208772
2025-02-09 8.290138 20.923011 43.017068 80.463799 138.130523 219.296633 337.426495
2025-02-16 8.103316 21.022944 43.976975 83.304488 144.353520 230.796361 357.206251
2025-02-23 7.433368 20.094112 43.117511 83.192926 146.128577 236.016083 368.365109
2025-03-02 6.680056 18.912635 41.740208 82.170619 146.469139 239.163547 376.650945
2025-03-09 6.142934 18.128959 41.015174 82.169960 148.339657 244.500693 388.029691